Some might stubbornly believe they are lucky and have no need to worry about what tomorrow brings. They may assume that they can "turn bad luck into good fortune." While this optimism is comforting, the real question is: Can luck alone solve all your problems?
Scientists once conducted an experiment: they placed a frog in a pot of boiling water. Instantly sensing the danger, the frog struggled and leaped out, avoiding being boiled alive, though slightly injured. In a second experiment, they placed a frog in cold water and gradually heated it. The frog didn’t notice the rising temperature and continued swimming, unaware of the slow threat. By the time the water was too hot, the frog was too weak to escape and was eventually boiled to death.
The different outcomes of the two frogs teach us that a comfortable environment can lull us into complacency, weakening our survival instincts. Both individuals and organizations must learn to prepare for crises during peaceful times, strengthening their resilience. Otherwise, even with the ability to react, you may be unprepared when real danger strikes.
Even if we currently enjoy a stable life, success requires a proactive sense of crisis and proper prevention. Some might argue that the future is unpredictable, that "fate is inevitable." Yes, the future is uncertain, and no amount of good fortune can shield us from unexpected challenges. This is precisely why we need to be mentally and practically prepared for sudden changes. Without preparation, the psychological shock alone can be overwhelming. Having a sense of crisis may not eliminate the problem, but it can reduce the damage and provide a way out.
One of Aesop's fables tells the story of a wild boar sharpening its tusks against a tree. A fox asked, "Why bother sharpening your teeth when there are no hunters or hounds around?" The boar replied, "If I don't sharpen them now, I'll be helpless when the hunters arrive."
This wild boar embodies the mindset of preparing for danger in peaceful times and taking precautions.
It’s undeniable that human nature tends toward inertia. When life is comfortable, we may be like frogs in warm water—our surroundings change without us noticing, and when we do, it’s often too late. Failing to recognize a gap in our awareness is the greatest risk, and not having a crisis mindset is the biggest crisis of all. As the saying goes, if you don’t have a sense of crisis, a disaster will strike like a river bursting its banks.
Market competition doesn’t favor the weak. It doesn’t acknowledge tears or emotions. You either swim against the current or get swept away. In today’s highly competitive society, a heightened sense of crisis is essential for survival.
The Norwegians love fresh sardines, so fishermen work hard to bring them back alive. Despite their efforts, most of the fish suffocate on the way back to port. However, one fisherman discovered a solution: he placed a catfish—a natural predator—in the tank with the sardines. The sardines, in their panic, swam faster and stayed alive. This illustrates how external pressure can ignite energy and maintain vitality.
Being prepared for danger in times of peace serves as both an energizer and a reminder. It’s not just a mindset, but also an action. In real life, we must master "gap management"—anticipating risks before they arrive. Many successful entrepreneurs incorporate crisis awareness into their corporate culture. Bill Gates once said, "Microsoft is always 18 months away from bankruptcy." Similarly, Ren Zhengfei of Huawei believes, "Winter is always coming for Huawei; it’s better to be prepared than caught off guard."
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